Pre-Draft Perspective: Odell Beckham Jr.

odell-beckham

You get a championship! You get a championship! EVERYBODY GETS A CHAMPIONSHIP!!!

Last year OBJesus handed out championships like he was Oprah.

With a stat line of 91 receptions, 1305 yards and 12 touchdowns Odell Beckham Jr. won the rookie of the year award and all while playing in only 12 games.

With a first year like that and an ADP going in the first and second rounds there is only one word to describe him, regression.

This is a list of the top ten yards per game for receivers who have played for a full NFL season.

If you take a look at that list you will notice one thing, that OBJ currently has the highest yards per game in history. He is sitting at a smooth 108 yards per game. That is 20 yards better than the previous best Julio Jones. If you expect OBJ to work the same magic that he did last year get your tissues ready.

Unless you expect for Beckham to keep pace at 19% better than any player in the history of the game has done, then cool your jets.

In comparison, Jim Brown is only five yards better than the next best all time running back. Calvin Johnson averages 87 yards per game for his career. Although he has had monster seasons, over time players average out. Johnson’s average is the second best of all time and is 21 yards lower than OBJ’s last season. You’re allowed to have great years, but you will inevitably have average years. OBJ lead off with a great one and you can’t have those every year. It’s fact, if that isn’t enough to scare you off of his price tag, which is even higher than consistent elite receivers such as Megatron and Jordy Nelson then consider these last thoughts.

Last year OBJ was the 4th most targeted receiver in football, while only playing 12 games. Victor Cruz will be back in the Giant’s offense and while drawing coverage he will also be drawing some of those targets. Now, game tape defenses will be keying in on Beckham and preparing for him. In the end Beckham is coming back to earth this season.

Of course this all goes out the window, if you believe Odell Beckham is 19% better than the best receiving player of all time after just one season.

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